Politics @ Surrey

The blog of the Department of Politics at the University of Surrey

Spring: the season of fig-leaves

So, for all the worrying, it looks like tomorrow’s Art.50 European Council will be a procession. The draft Withdrawal Agreement is 75% green, transition agreements are all in place and the events in Salisbury have reminded everyone that there are good external reasons to get on with each other. Of course, it’s not nearly that […]

Sailing the transition ocean

This piece was originally published in the Huffington Post For a lot of people, the mention of Brexit is enough to trigger a response of “still?!?” 21 months since the EU referendum, we’re still a year away from actually leaving the EU. But at least then, we’re done, right? Wrong. While a lot of attention […]

Scenarios for the 22-23 March 2018 European Council

After last week’s scenario-planning for October‘s meeting of the European Council, I’ve now done the same for the up-coming March meeting. It’s a bit vaguer than October, largely because there’s more time to play with. However, it’s also clear that any blockage will have substantial knock-on effects, and if negotiators want to leave themselves any leeway […]

Scenarios for the 18-19 October 2018 European Council

I know it’s still a long way off, but I’ve been thinking about the October European Council as a key crunch-point for the Article 50 process. To that end, I’ve made a Powerpoint (PDF version at the bottom), plus there’s some comments in the Twitter thread I wrote on this. Happy to expand/explain thinking on […]

Why cake is going to stay on the Brexit menu

The optimistic view of the round of speeches over the past weeks that culminated in Theresa May’s contribution at Mansion House is that the UK is finally confronting the consequences of the EU referendum. With both government ministers and Jeremy Corbyn devoting time to discussing and debating in more detail, this might be the point […]

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