Politics @ Surrey

The blog of the Department of Politics at the University of Surrey

Scenarios for the 22-23 March 2018 European Council

After last week’s scenario-planning for October‘s meeting of the European Council, I’ve now done the same for the up-coming March meeting. It’s a bit vaguer than October, largely because there’s more time to play with. However, it’s also clear that any blockage will have substantial knock-on effects, and if negotiators want to leave themselves any leeway […]


Scenarios for the 18-19 October 2018 European Council

I know it’s still a long way off, but I’ve been thinking about the October European Council as a key crunch-point for the Article 50 process. To that end, I’ve made a Powerpoint (PDF version at the bottom), plus there’s some comments in the Twitter thread I wrote on this. Happy to expand/explain thinking on […]


Why cake is going to stay on the Brexit menu

The optimistic view of the round of speeches over the past weeks that culminated in Theresa May’s contribution at Mansion House is that the UK is finally confronting the consequences of the EU referendum. With both government ministers and Jeremy Corbyn devoting time to discussing and debating in more detail, this might be the point […]


Article 50 infographics – updated to Feburary

A bit of an odd month. Mostly it’s been quiet on the negotiating front, as everyone prepares for March and Phase 2. However, there has also been a flurry of activity, including the British internal discussions on the end-state of the New Relationship, the numerous speeches that have amounted to not much, and the Commission’s […]


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